Maple Valley, WA 14 Day Weather
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD PM EDT Tue Oct 12 Valid Wed Oct 13 - Fri Oct 15 First winter storm of the season to bring heavy snow to the Northern/Central Rockies today and the northern High Plains overnight Severe weather and heavy rain will persist in the Central and Southern Plains through Thursday Mild temperatures continue throughout the eastern US while frigid highs and sub-freezing lows are expected out West A deep low pressure/frontal system moving through the Central Rockies and into the Northern Plains will serve as the focus for active weather of all types through the short-range period, including the first winter storm of the season. With favorable dynamics and high atmospheric moisture accompanying this ongoing system, heavy snowfall with additional accumulations up to and in excess of 12" are expected in the Northern Rockies and High Plains as well as areas of high elevation in the Central Rockies. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories will remain in effect until late this evening for the Central and Northern Rockies, while locations farther east in the High Plains will hold on to these warnings and advisories until midday tomorrow. Strong winds with gusts up to 60 mph are also expected to accompany this storm as it moves through the Rockies and into the Central High Plains. High Wind Warnings are currently in effect for the Central/Southern Rockies and Central High Plains as these winds may knock down trees and power lines and blow around already fallen snow, lowering visibility and making travel hazardous. Ahead of the cold front on the eastern edge of this system warmer temperatures, surface instability, and high atmospheric moisture throughout the Central and Southern Plains will support the development of showers and thunderstorms capable of becoming severe. Numerous supercells are expected to form throughout the day that will have the potential to produce damaging winds, large hail, and multiple tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Moderate Risk of Severe Thunderstorms for western Kansas, western Oklahoma, and the northeastern Texas panhandle as these areas hold the greatest probability of receiving hail 2+" in diameter and significant tornadoes through tomorrow morning. While the severe weather threat tapers off on Wednesday, the potential for widespread flash flooding ramps up as heavy rain focused around the trailing cold front inundates portions of the Southern Plains. With strong deep-layer ascent in place and atmospheric moisture levels well above normal, a swath of +" rainfall accumulations is expected across central Texas. These high accumulations combined with the potential for hourly rainfall rates of " in some areas has prompted the Weather Prediction Center to issue a Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall for portions of central Texas from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning. Heavy rainfall will continue in central Texas on Thursday as moisture from Hurricane Pamela is transported northeast and interacts with the quasi-stationary boundary draped through the state, thereby prolonging the risk of flash flooding through Friday. Throughout the short-range period a strong temperature contrast will exist across the country. High pressure locked in place over the eastern seaboard will allow moderately above normal temperatures to persist across the eastern US, while the storm system out west will advect cool air south from higher latitudes, dropping daily highs 20 to 30 degrees below average into the 30s and 40s. Freeze Watches and Warnings are currently in effect over portions of the Southwest and Central Great Basin. Zavadoff Graphics are available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
Storm Prediction Center
United States 2 Day Forecast
WPC Short Range Forecasts (Days ½-2½)
The time period when the sun is no more than 6 degrees below the horizon at either sunrise or sunset. The horizon should be clearly defined and the brightest stars should be visible under good atmospheric conditions (i.e. no moonlight, or other lights). One still should be able to carry on ordinary outdoor activities.
The time period when the sun is between 6 and 12 degrees below the horizon at either sunrise or sunset. The horizon is well defined and the outline of objects might be visible without artificial light. Ordinary outdoor activities are not possible at this time without extra illumination.
The time period when the sun is between 12 and 18 degrees below the horizon at either sunrise or sunset. The sun does not contribute to the illumination of the sky before this time in the morning, or after this time in the evening. In the beginning of morning astronomical twilight and at the end of astronomical twilight in the evening, sky illumination is very faint, and might be undetectable.
The time of Civil Sunset minus the time of Civil Sunrise.
The time of Actual Sunset minus the time of Actual Sunrise. The change in length of daylight between today and tomorrow is also listed when available.
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Strong Storm System to Impact the Western U.S.; Flash Flooding Possible in portions of Texas and Oklahoma on Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of rain after 5am. Cloudy, with a low around Light and variable wind.
A 40 percent chance of rain, mainly between 11am and 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near Calm wind becoming west southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
A 50 percent chance of rain, mainly after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around East northeast wind around 6 mph becoming south in the evening.
Rain likely, mainly before 11am. Cloudy, with a high near East southeast wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Rain likely, mainly after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around
Rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around
Partly sunny, with a high near
Mostly cloudy, with a low around
A chance of rain. Mostly sunny, with a high near
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